The fifth card. After the fifth card,
to justify playing on you should have a strong possibility for
one direction or the other. You must now consider your strength
in relation to that of the other players. In calculating your
chances, it is often useful to use as a basis the number of working
low cards that each player is likely to hold. Suppose that you
had four to a seven after the fourth card; other players had good
low cards exposed. On the fifth card you hit an open (low) pair
while the other players "bust" hitting picture cards.
Although you do not now have the lowest hand (in fact, you probably
have the highest!), your position for low has not been damaged
to any great extent. In almost all cases the picture cards will
not be used in making the best low hand for the other players.
You are still competing for low on the basis of the first four
cards. However, while maintaining your position for low, you now
have a big edge in the high direction because of your chance to
make three-of-a-kind or two pairs. In other words, you have a
chance to win in each direction and probably have the best hand
at the table. This is a most favorable situation, and you should
bet strongly.
On the other hand, suppose
that after five cards you have 2-5 (concealed) 7-4-10 (exposed)
and other players have lower boards exposed. It is unlikely that
all the other players have busted (that is, made a low pair on
the fifth card). You are now in an inferior position in the fight
for low because you are essentially one card behind. In fact,
even if your opponents have made low pairs, they are in the strong
position described in the previous paragraph. In this situation
you should not call a bet. In high-low (especially at pot limit
or table stakes) the most important factor for a winning player
is the self-discipline to drop when he realizes that his position
has suddenly become unfavorable.