Furthermore, by making plays such
as this, you will greatly increase your winnings on your big hands.
Many players, not realizing the essential soundness of your play,
will mark you as a big bluffer when you expose a hand like this
in the showdown in one of your losing automatic bluffs. They may
even raise after the draw on some later hand, holding only moderate
values themselves! Or, at the very least, they will tend to call
you after the draw when you have made your hand and they have
only moderate values.
It is important to understand
the basic principles behind this automatic bluff, so that you
do not apply the technique improperly. There are two crucial factors
which lead to an automatic bluff situation. The first is that
your hand after the draw must be essentially hopeless! It is a
paradoxical part of lowball-probably the strangest of all poker
games, anyway-that after the draw you must bet with either a very
good hand or a very bad hand! The reason is that if your hand
is not a sure loser you can always hope to win on a check-out
after the draw.
Thus, if you had drawn a jack in the example hand, there would
be about a 50% chance that your hand would then be better than
your opponent's! The second factor is that the pot must offer
suitable odds. If there is little money in the pot, say only two
or three times the amount you risk with the automatic bluff, then
the play will be a big loser in the long run. For now your opponent
need call you only about two times in three to hold you even,
and he may well do that even though his own odds are correspondingly
shorter. Using the amount in the pot as a basis for calculation
has been described in great detail previously, so nothing more
need be said on this subject.